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Dr Doug Richardson

Dr Doug Richardson

Research Associate
  • PhD, Climate Science, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
  • BSc (Hons), Mathematics and Statistics, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UK
Science
Weather of the 21st Century

Dr Doug Richardson is a climate scientists with expertise in weather and climate variability and extremes that have societal impacts. In his current role as Senior Research Fellow at the ARC CoE for Weather of the 21st Century, Doug specialises in understanding the role of the weather and climate in driving risks and opportunities to renewable energy supply and demand.

Doug completed his PhD at in 2019 at Newcastle University in the UK, where he assessed the predictability of drought and the relationship between drought and large-scale weather patterns. In 2016, Doug collaborated with the UK Met Office to design an operational forecast tool that provides the national Flood Forecasting Centre with early warning of extreme rainfall events. Doug worked as a Research Fellow at CSIRO, Hobart between 2019 and 2022, and was part of the Australian Climate Service, a national, multi-agency climate resilience program. In January 2023,听Doug joined the ARC CoE for Climate Extremes, before starting his latest position in January 2026.

  • Journal articles | 2026
    Richardson D; Hobeichi S; Pitman AJ, 2026, 'Limited influence of climate modes of variability on residual load in Australia's electricity grid', Environmental Research Energy,
    Journal articles | 2026
    Richardson D; McConnell D; Pitman AJ; Hobeichi S, 2026, 'Wind power growth drives winter risk and supply-dominated variability in Australia鈥檚 energy system', Environmental Research Climate, 5,
    Journal articles | 2025
    Reid KJ; Barnes MA; Gillett ZE; Parker T; Udy DG; Ayat H; Boschat G; Bowden A; Grosfeld NH; King AD; Richardson D; Shao Y; Teckentrup L; Trewin B; Hope P; Zhou L; Borowiak AR; Holgate CM; Isphording RN, 2025, 'A Multiscale Evaluation of the Wet 2022 in Eastern Australia', Journal of Climate, 38, pp. 909 - 929,
    Journal articles | 2025
    Richardson D; Hobeichi S; Sweet LB; Rey-Costa E; Abramowitz G; Pitman AJ, 2025, 'Predicting Australian energy demand variability using weather data and machine learning', Environmental Research Letters, 20,
    Journal articles | 2025
    Richardson D; Ribeiro AFS; Batibeniz F; Quilcaille Y; Taschetto AS; Pitman AJ; Zscheischler J, 2025, 'Increasing Fire Weather Season Overlap Between North America and Australia Challenges Firefighting Cooperation', Earth S Future, 13,
    Journal articles | 2024
    Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Sen Gupta A; Taschetto AS; Richardson D; Rampal N; Ayat H; Alexander LV; Pitman AJ, 2024, 'How well do climate modes explain precipitation variability?', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7,
    Journal articles | 2024
    Tozer CR; Risbey JS; Pook MJ; Monselesan DP; Irving DB; Ramesh N; Richardson D, 2024, 'A Tale of Two Novembers: Confounding Influences on La Ni帽a鈥檚 Relationship with Rainfall in Australia', Monthly Weather Review, 152, pp. 1977 - 1996,
    Journal articles | 2023
    Richardson D; Kath J; Byrareddy VM; Monselesan DP; Risbey JS; Squire DT; Tozer CR, 2023, 'Synchronous climate hazards pose an increasing challenge to global coffee production', PLOS Climate, 2, pp. e0000134,
    Journal articles | 2023
    Richardson D; Pitman AJ; Ridder NN, 2023, 'Climate influence on compound solar and wind droughts in Australia', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6,
    Journal articles | 2023
    Risbey JS; Irving DB; Squire DT; Matear RJ; Monselesan DP; Pook MJ; Ramesh N; Richardson D; Tozer CR, 2023, 'A large ensemble illustration of how record-shattering heat records can endure', Environmental Research Climate, 2,
    Journal articles | 2022
    Allen K; Stewart SB; Tozer C; Richardson D; Nitschke C; Risbey J; Dowdy A; Brookhouse M; Fox-Hughes P; Peterson M; Baker PJ, 2022, 'Reconstructing seasonal fire danger in southeastern Australia using tree rings', International Journal of Wildland Fire, 31, pp. 559 - 571,
    Journal articles | 2022
    Black AS; Monselesan DP; Risbey JS; Sloyan BM; Chapman CC; Hannachi A; Richardson D; Squire DT; Tozer CR; Trendafilov N, 2022, 'Archetypal Analysis of Geophysical Data Illustrated by Sea Surface Temperature', Artificial Intelligence for the Earth Systems, 1,
    Journal articles | 2022
    Richardson D; Black AS; Irving D; Matear RJ; Monselesan DP; Risbey JS; Squire DT; Tozer CR, 2022, 'Global increase in wildfire potential from compound fire weather and drought', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 5,
    Journal articles | 2022
    Risbey JS; Squire DT; Pacchetti MB; Black AS; Chapman CC; Dessai S; Irving DB; Matear RJ; Monselesan DP; Moore TS; Richardson D; Sloyan BM; Tozer CR, 2022, 'Common Issues in Verification of Climate Forecasts and Projections', Climate, 10,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Black AS; Risbey JS; Chapman CC; Monselesan DP; Moore TS; Pook MJ; Richardson D; Sloyan BM; Squire DT; Tozer CR, 2021, 'Australian northwest cloudbands and their relationship to atmospheric rivers and precipitation', Monthly Weather Review, 149, pp. 1125 - 1139,
    Journal articles | 2021
    O'Kane TJ; Sandery PA; Kitsios V; Sakov P; Chamberlain MA; Squire DT; Collier MA; Chapman CC; Fiedler R; Harries D; Moore TS; Richardson D; Risbey JS; Schroeter BJE; Schroeter S; Sloyan BM; Tozer C; Watterson IG; Black A; Quinn C; Matear RJ, 2021, 'CAFE60v1: A 60-year large ensemble climate reanalysis. Part II: Evaluation', Journal of Climate, 34, pp. 5171 - 5194,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Richardson D; Black AS; Monselesan DP; Moore TS; Risbey JS; Schepen A; Squire DT; Tozer CR, 2021, 'Identifying periods of forecast model confidence for improved subseasonal prediction of precipitation', Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22, pp. 371 - 385,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Richardson D; Black AS; Monselesan DP; Risbey JS; Squire DT; Tozer CR; Canadell JG, 2021, 'Increased extreme fire weather occurrence in southeast Australia and related atmospheric drivers', Weather and Climate Extremes, 34,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Risbey JS; Monselesan DP; Black AS; Moore TS; Richardson D; Squire DT; Tozer CR, 2021, 'The identification of long-lived southern hemisphere flow events using archetypes and principal components', Monthly Weather Review, 149, pp. 1987 - 2010,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Risbey JS; Squire DT; Black AS; DelSole T; Lepore C; Matear RJ; Monselesan DP; Moore TS; Richardson D; Schepen A; Tippett MK; Tozer CR, 2021, 'Standard assessments of climate forecast skill can be misleading', Nature Communications, 12,
    Journal articles | 2021
    Squire DT; Richardson D; Risbey JS; Black AS; Kitsios V; Matear RJ; Monselesan D; Moore TS; Tozer CR, 2021, 'Likelihood of unprecedented drought and fire weather during Australia鈥檚 2019 megafires', Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4,
    Journal articles | 2020
    Richardson D; Fowler HJ; Kilsby CG; Neal R; Dankers R, 2020, 'Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: A weather pattern approach', Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, 20, pp. 107 - 124,
    Journal articles | 2020
    Richardson D; Neal R; Dankers R; Mylne K; Cowling R; Clements H; Millard J, 2020, 'Linking weather patterns to regional extreme precipitation for highlighting potential flood events in medium- to long-range forecasts', Meteorological Applications, 27,
    Journal articles | 2020
    Tozer CR; Risbey JS; Grose MR; Monselesan DP; Squire DT; Black AS; Richardson D; Sparrow SN; Li S; Wallom D, 2020, 'A 1-day extreme rainfall event in Tasmania: Process evaluation and long tail attribution', Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 101, pp. S123 - S128,
    Journal articles | 2019
    Richardson D; Kilsby CG; Fowler HJ; B谩rdossy A, 2019, 'Weekly to multi-month persistence in sets of daily weather patterns over Europe and the North Atlantic Ocean', International Journal of Climatology, 39, pp. 2041 - 2056,
    Journal articles | 2019
    Richardson D, 2019, 'Authors' response to RC2', ,
    Journal articles | 2018
    Richardson D; Fowler HJ; Kilsby CG; Neal R, 2018, 'A new precipitation and drought climatology based on weather patterns', International Journal of Climatology, 38, pp. 630 - 648,
    Journal articles | 2015
    Davidson P, 2015, 'Author's response.', International Journal of Nursing Studies, 52, pp. 503
  • Other | 2025
    Ribeiro AFS; Richardson D; Quilcaille Y; Batibeniz F; Pitman A; Zscheischler J, 2025, Overlapping US-Australia fire seasons reduce the window of opportunity for firefighting cooperation, Copernicus Publications,
    Other | 2025
    Richardson D, 2025, The risk to global coffee supply from synchronous climate hazards, Copernicus Publications,
    Preprints | 2024
    Monselesan DP; Risbey JS; Legresy B; Cravatte S; Pagli B; Izumo T; Chapman CC; Freund M; Hannachi A; Irving D; Reddy PJ; Richardson D; Squire DT; Tozer CR, 2024, On the archetypal `flavours', indices and teleconnections of ENSO revealed by global sea surface temperatures,
    Other | 2023
    Richardson D, 2023, Climate modes and synoptic patterns associated with widespread wind and solar lows in Australia, Copernicus Publications,
    Other | 2020
    Richardson D; Risbey J; Monselesan D, 2020, Identifying periods of forecast model confidence for improved subseasonal prediction of precipitation in southern Australia, Copernicus Publications,
    Other | 2019
    Richardson D; Fowler HJ; Kilsby CG; Neal R; Dankers R, 2019, Supplementary material to "Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach",
    Preprints |
    Hobeichi S; Abramowitz G; Gupta AS; Taschetto A; Richardson D; Rampal N; Ayat H; Alexander L; Pitman A, How well do climate modes explain precipitationvariability?,
    Preprints |
    Richardson D; Fowler HJ; Kilsby CG; Neal R; Dankers R, Improving sub-seasonal forecast skill of meteorological drought: a weather pattern approach,
    Preprints |
    Richardson D; Pitman A; Ridder N, Climate controls on compound solar and wind droughts in Australia,

Where are high-resolution climate simulations consistent in future fire risk?听Science Faculty Research Grants, 2026.

Accelerating climate intelligence provision for risk assessment using machine learning and artificial intelligence (CI),听National Intelligence Discovery Grants, 2026.

Risks of compound climate extremes and impacts on agriculture, trade and fire occurrence,听Australia-Germany Joint Research Cooperation Scheme,听2023 - 2025.

Doug's main research focuses on climate extremes, particularly compound events. He is currently investigating the extent to which Australia's energy grid is exposed to widespread reductions in renewable energy resource, and the synoptic and large-scale drivers of these reductions. Doug is also interested in climate hazards such as drought and wildfire weather, and has expertise on how and why these hazards occur and co-occur for different regions globally. Other areas that Doug works in include climate prediction on subseasonal to decadal time scales, synoptic weather classification and trend analysis of climate hazards.